Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000200 0.000224 0.000249 0.000278 0.000311 0.000346 0.000387
2025-02-16 0.000165 0.000197 0.000233 0.000278 0.000331 0.000392 0.000468
2025-02-23 0.000139 0.000175 0.000219 0.000275 0.000346 0.000432 0.000546
2025-03-02 0.000118 0.000156 0.000204 0.000269 0.000355 0.000465 0.000617
2025-03-09 0.000103 0.000142 0.000194 0.000267 0.000368 0.000503 0.000697
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000132 0.000186 0.000267 0.000383 0.000543 0.000784
2025-03-23 0.000083 0.000123 0.000180 0.000268 0.000398 0.000585 0.000876
2025-03-30 0.000074 0.000114 0.000173 0.000266 0.000409 0.000621 0.000962
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000108 0.000169 0.000268 0.000424 0.000664 0.001062
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000103 0.000165 0.000268 0.000438 0.000705 0.001162
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000096 0.000158 0.000264 0.000444 0.000735 0.001245
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000094 0.000159 0.000274 0.000472 0.000802 0.001397
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000091 0.000157 0.000278 0.000492 0.000859 0.001539
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000087 0.000154 0.000280 0.000510 0.000914 0.001685
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000082 0.000150 0.000280 0.000522 0.000960 0.001818
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000077 0.000144 0.000274 0.000526 0.000991 0.001925
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000073 0.000139 0.000273 0.000536 0.001034 0.002060
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000070 0.000136 0.000273 0.000549 0.001084 0.002214
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000067 0.000134 0.000274 0.000564 0.001139 0.002382
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000064 0.000130 0.000272 0.000573 0.001183 0.002530
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000061 0.000128 0.000274 0.000589 0.001242 0.002717
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000059 0.000126 0.000275 0.000603 0.001298 0.002900
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000056 0.000121 0.000271 0.000607 0.001333 0.003042